Browns vs. Commanders Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 5

Published 4:39 pm Saturday, October 5, 2024

The Washington Commanders will play the Cleveland Browns at Commanders Field on Sunday, Oct. 6 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Commanders will earn a victory — keep scrolling for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Commanders rank sixth in total offense (382.3 yards per game) and 26th in total defense (357 yards allowed per game) this year. The Browns have been sputtering offensively, ranking second-worst with 246.3 total yards per game. They have been better on the other side of the ball, allowing 299 total yards per contest (11th-ranked).

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Browns vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Commanders (-3) Over (43.5) Commanders 37, Browns 10

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Browns Betting Info

  • The implied probability of a win by the Browns based on the moneyline is 42.6%.
  • Cleveland has a record of 1-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Browns have won their only game this season when playing as at least 3-point underdogs.
  • Cleveland games have hit the over just once this year.
  • Games involving the Browns this year have averaged 39.5 points per game, a four-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Commanders Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Commanders have an implied win probability of 61.5%.
  • Washington is 3-1-0 ATS this season.
  • Washington games have gone over the point total three out of four times this season.
  • The average total for Commanders games this season has been 44.9, 1.4 points higher than the total for this game.

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Browns vs. Commanders 2024 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Commanders 30.3 25.5 21 18 33.3 28
Browns 16.5 21.8 16 27 17 16.5

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