Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 4:38 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

A victory by the Cincinnati Bengals over the New England Patriots is our computer model projection for these teams’ upcoming game, on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET (at Paycor Stadium). For more information, including the spread, over/under and final score, continue reading.

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The Bengals owned the 22nd-ranked offense last season (318.9 yards per game), and they were worse on defense, ranking second-worst with 374.6 yards allowed per game. The Patriots were a bottom-five offense last year, ranking third-worst with 276.2 yards per contest. On the defensive side of the ball, they ranked seventh in the NFL (301.6 yards allowed per game).

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Bengals vs. Patriots Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Bengals (-7.5) Under (41) Bengals 27, Patriots 13

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Bengals Betting Info

  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Bengals’ implied win probability is 80.0%.
  • Cincinnati compiled a 7-8-2 record against the spread last season.
  • Cincinnati games hit the over 10 out of 17 times last season.
  • The point total average for Bengals games last season was 43.5, 2.5 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

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Patriots Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 24.4% chance of a victory for the Patriots.
  • New England covered five times in 17 games with a spread last year.
  • The Patriots covered the spread twice last year (2-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point underdogs.
  • New England and its opponent combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times last year.
  • Games involving the Patriots last year averaged 39.4 points per game, a 1.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Bengals vs. Patriots 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Bengals 21.5 22.6 23.7 19.1 19.1 26.5
Patriots 13.9 21.5 12.1 20.9 15.9 22.3

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