Wanting to put some money on the upcoming contest (Sunday at 1 p.m. ET) between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena Below, we offer our best bets, along with our picks and predictions for this matchup.

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Picks

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Total Pick

Pick OU: Under 6.5 (model projecting 6.3 goals)

• This season, Toronto and its opponent have combined to outscore Sunday’s over/under of 6.5 goals 26 times.
• So far this season, 30 games Pittsburgh has played finished with over 6.5 goals.
• The total for this game (6.5) is 0.5 more than the combined scoring averages for the Maple Leafs (3.19) and the Penguins (2.85).
• The 6.4 goals per game these two teams allow are 0.1 less than the over/under set for this contest.

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Moneyline Pick

Maple Leafs Moneyline: -191

• The Maple Leafs have gone 28-16 this season when listed as a moneyline favorite.
• Toronto is 7-6 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -191 or shorter (53.8% win percentage).
• The Maple Leafs have a 65.6% chance (based on the moneyline’s implied probability) to win this matchup.

Penguins Moneyline: +158

• In 47 games as the moneyline underdog, Pittsburgh has secured the upset 16 times.
• When the Penguins’ moneyline odds are +158 or longer, they have won four games in 13 opportunities.
• Pittsburgh’s implied probability to win is 38.8% based on the moneyline odds.

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Score Prediction

Prediction:
Toronto 4, Pittsburgh 3

Maple Leafs Points Leaders

• Mitchell Marner has been critical to Toronto’s offense this season, racking up 74 points in 58 games.
• William Nylander is another of Toronto’s important contributors currently with 59 total points (34 goals and 25 assists) to his name.
• On 139 shots (for 22 goals) and 27 assists, John Tavares has created 49 points this season.
• In 31 games played this season, Joseph Woll (20-11-0) has given up 80 goals.

Penguins Points Leaders

• Pittsburgh’s Sidney Crosby has recorded 44 assists and 18 goals in 60 games, good for 62 points.
• Pittsburgh’s Rickard Rakell has racked up 49 total points (0.8 per game), with 26 goals and 23 assists.
• Pittsburgh’s Erik Karlsson has 43 points, courtesy of eight goals (10th on team) and 35 assists (second).
• Alex Nedeljkovic has an .892 save percentage (51st in the league), with 777 total saves, while allowing 94 goals (3.2 goals against average). He has put together a 12-12-5 record between the posts for Pittsburgh this season.

Maple Leafs’ Schedule

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Penguins’ Schedule

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Toronto vs. Pittsburgh Game Info

• Date: Sunday, March 2, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• How to watch on TV: TNT
• Live Stream: Watch this game on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

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