Thunder vs. Cavaliers Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – January 16

Published 10:17 pm Wednesday, January 15, 2025

The Western-leading Thunder (33-6) are just 2.5-point favorites when they host the Eastern-leading Cavaliers (34-5) on Thursday, January 16, 2025 at Paycom Center. The game is set totip off at 7:30 PM ET on TNT, truTV, and MAX.

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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Thursday, January 16, 2025
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • How to watch on TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Location: Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
  • Venue: Paycom Center

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Thunder vs. Cavaliers Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    Thunder 116 – Cavaliers 110

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Spread & Total Prediction for Thunder vs. Cavaliers

  • Pick ATS: Thunder (- 2.5)
  • Computer Predicted Spread: Thunder (-5.9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (232.5)

  • Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
  • Both the Thunder and the Cavaliers have covered the spread 69.2% of the time this year, resulting in a 27-12-0 ATS record for the Thunder and a 27-12-0 tally for the Cavs.
  • Oklahoma City (24-10) covers a lower percentage of games when it is favored by 2.5 points or more this season (70.6%) than Cleveland (3-0) does as a 2.5+-point underdog (100%).
  • When it comes to topping the over/under in 2024-25, Oklahoma City does it in fewer games (51.3% of the time) than Cleveland (64.1%).
  • As a moneyline favorite this season, the Thunder are 31-5, while the Cavaliers are 2-1 as moneyline underdogs.

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Thunder Performance Insights

  • The Thunder have been lifted by their defense, as they rank second-best in the NBA by surrendering just 103.4 points per game. They rank eighth in the league in points scored (116.2 per contest).
  • Oklahoma City ranks 18th in the NBA with 43.8 boards per game, but it is allowing 46.5 rebounds per game, which ranks third-worst in the league.
  • This year, the Thunder rank 15th in the league in assists, averaging 26.0 per game.
  • Oklahoma City is thriving in terms of turnovers, as it ranks best in the league in turnovers committed (11.5 per game) and best in forced turnovers (17.9 per contest).
  • The Thunder are draining 13.4 threes per game (15th-ranked in league). They own a 35.4% shooting percentage (19th-ranked) from beyond the arc.

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Cavaliers Performance Insights

  • Offensively, the Cavaliers are the second-best squad in the league (122.3 points per game). On defense, they are 11th (111.4 points allowed per game).
  • Cleveland grabs 43.8 rebounds per game and give up 43.8 boards, ranking 18th and 13th, respectively, in the NBA.
  • This season the Cavaliers are fifth-best in the league in assists at 29.1 per game.
  • In terms of turnovers, Cleveland is fourth-best in the NBA in committing them (12.4 per game). It is 10th in forcing them (14.3 per game).
  • Beyond the arc, the Cavaliers are third-best in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game at 16.2. And they are best in 3-point percentage at 39.9%.

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