A win by the Kansas City Chiefs over the Cincinnati Bengals is our computer model prediction for these teams’ upcoming matchup, on Sunday, Sept. 15 at 4:25 p.m. ET (at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium). For a full breakdown, including the spread, over/under and final score, see below.

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Defensively, the Chiefs were a top-five unit last season, ranking second-best by allowing just 17.3 points per game. They ranked 15th on offense (21.8 points per game). The Bengals ranked 16th in scoring offense (21.5 points per game) and 21st in scoring defense (22.6 points allowed per game) last season.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs Predictions and Picks

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Bengals Betting Info

• The implied probability of a win by the Bengals, based on the moneyline, is 33.3%.
• Cincinnati won seven games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing 10 times.
• The Bengals covered the spread once when an underdog by 6 points or more last year (in two opportunities).
• A total of 10 of Cincinnati games last year went over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 4.5 points higher than the average scoring total for Bengals games last season (43.5).

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Chiefs Betting Info

• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Chiefs’ implied win probability is 71.4%.
• Kansas City covered 10 times in 17 games with a spread last season.
• The Chiefs were 6-4 ATS last season when playing as at least 6-point favorites.
• Kansas City and its opponent combined to hit the over in five of 17 contests last season.
• The over/under in this game is 48 points, 2.2 higher than the average total in Chiefs games last season.

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Bengals vs. Chiefs 2023 Scoring Insights

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